1Key Takeaways
Key Takeaways
- Demand is real: BLS JOLTS shows 6.5 million job openings (July 2026), up from 6.3 million a year earlier, so you can afford to be selective.
- Openings are not hires: With 4.8 million hires (July 2026) against 6.5 million job openings, an open listing is not a promise that someone is being hired into it.
- Layoffs are common: JOLTS counted 1.6 million layoffs and discharges (July 2026), so check whether your target team was cut before you apply.
- Churn is normal, patterns are not: 2.9 million quits (July 2026) means people leave jobs all the time, so look for repeated exits from one manager or team.
- Use one template every time: Score the listing, the company, and your resume fit with the same checklist so your mood is not the only filter.
2Should I Apply to a Company? Start With Three Checks
How We Got This Data
Seasonally adjusted US totals from the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey: openings, hires, quits, and layoffs, referenced to July 2026.
- Levels pulled from the BLS public API (series JTS1000000000000000*, seasonally adjusted, total nonfarm), reported in millions.
You should apply when the listing is real, the company looks stable, and the role fits your resume. When two of those three fail, skip it and spend the time on a better target. That is the whole decision, and the rest of this post is a template for making it quickly and consistently.
I built ShouldApply after watching job seekers send application after application to roles that were never going to work out. The pattern was always the same: no research, a rushed cover letter, and then silence for weeks. A fixed employer research template fixes that because it replaces mood with a repeatable checklist. You run the same checks on every company, so the ones that pass stand out.
Data as of July 2026. The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) reports 6.5 million job openings (July 2026), with job openings up from 6.3 million a year earlier. That is plenty of demand, which means you can afford to be picky, and a quick should I apply check on each listing is worth the minutes.
The free jobs tool covers this step.
Job openings, July 2026 versus a year earlier
6.5M
job openings (July 2026)
6.3M
job openings a year earlier
Source: BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), seasonally adjusted, total nonfarm.
3What the Labor Market Says About Your Odds
JOLTS publishes four flows worth knowing, and the July 2026 readings frame your odds. There were 6.5 million job openings, but only 4.8 million hires. Openings outnumber hires, so an open listing is not a promise that anyone is being hired into it. That gap is the first reason to research an employer instead of applying blind.
The other two numbers show movement in both directions. JOLTS counted 2.9 million quits (July 2026), which means people are still leaving jobs by choice. It also counted 1.6 million layoffs and discharges (July 2026), so cuts are happening at the same time as hiring. Both facts matter when you judge one employer.
These are national totals, and no national total tells you anything about a single company. I use them as a reminder that hiring is active and that layoffs are real, then I check the employer directly. The next sections show how. When you want a score against your resume as you go, create an account.
Four JOLTS flows, July 2026
Seasonally adjusted US totals, in millions
Bar width is relative to the largest value (6.5M). Source: BLS JOLTS, total nonfarm, July 2026.
4The Company Research Template
Copy this list into a note and fill it in for every employer before you apply. Each line gets a yes, a no, or unclear, and the answers decide your next move. The resume-fit line is the slowest to do by hand, so I run it through the Should I Apply tool. Everything else takes a few searches.
Score each line honestly, because a guess dressed up as a yes helps nobody. Mostly yes answers with no hard no means apply. A hard no on listing reality or stability means pause and dig further before you spend an evening on the application. Unclear answers are the ones to chase, since they hide most of the surprises.
- Listing reality: The posting is recent, names a team or manager, and describes actual work instead of buzzwords.
- Company stability: Recent news shows no layoffs, hiring freezes, or sudden leadership exits.
- Pay and level: The posted range and title match the duties described, with no title inflation.
- Turnover signals: Employee reviews and profile histories do not show people leaving within months.
- Resume fit: Your recent roles cover most of the required skills and the seniority level.
5Step One: Check the Listing Is Real
A posting can stay live long after the role is filled, frozen, or quietly cancelled. Check the posted date first, then search the company careers page for the same title. If the same role keeps reappearing, ask why nobody has stayed in it. Repeated reposts are one of the cheapest signals you can find.
Read the description for specifics. A real opening names the team, the tools, and what success looks like in the first months. A vague listing full of adjectives is often a resume collector, used to build a pipeline instead of fill a seat. If you cannot picture the daily work after reading it, the hiring manager probably cannot either.
Then look for a salary range and a named recruiter or hiring manager. Missing both is not fatal, but it tells you the company is either careless or hiding something. Write the finding on your template and move to the next check. Do not let one soft signal end your search, and do not ignore several of them.
Paste the listing and your resume into the Should I Apply tool to see a fit score before you write a single line of a cover letter.
Score This Listing6Step Two: Check the Company Is Stable
Layoffs are part of the picture, not a rumor. JOLTS reported 1.6 million layoffs and discharges (July 2026) across the US. A company caught in that group is not automatically a bad bet, but you should know before you accept an offer. The same goes for a team you would be joining next month.
Search the company name plus layoffs, restructuring, and hiring freeze in recent news. Check whether headcount on professional profiles is shrinking and whether your target team was named in any cuts. Recent layoffs in your target team matter more than company-wide headlines. A healthy company can still cut the exact group you are applying to.
Turnover works the same way. With 2.9 million quits (July 2026) nationally, some churn is normal, so look for a pattern instead of reacting to one bad review. Repeated exits from the same manager or team is the red flag worth writing down. When you are comparing several employers, sign up for ShouldApply and score each listing against your resume.
Green flags and red flags by check
| Category | Green flag | Red flag |
|---|---|---|
| Headcount news | Stable or growing team, no recent cuts | Layoffs or a hiring freeze in your target team |
| Listing age | Recent posting with a clear owner | Same role reposted repeatedly |
| Turnover | People stay through promotions | Repeated exits from one manager |
| Pay clarity | Posted range that matches the level | No range and an inflated title |
7Step Three: Check the Role Fits Your Resume
A stable company and a real listing still waste your time if the role does not fit. Compare the required skills to what your resume actually shows, not what you could learn in a hurry. Hiring managers screen on evidence, and a resume that lacks it gets filtered before a person reads it. This is the step that decides whether you get an interview.
I sort requirements into must-haves and nice-to-haves. Must-haves you cannot show on paper are the gaps that get an application rejected. Nice-to-haves rarely decide anything, so do not talk yourself out of a good role over one of them. Use the bullets below as your fit check.
Most people skip this step because it is tedious, which is why I automated it in the Should I Apply tool. It compares the listing to your resume and returns a score, so you decide with evidence instead of hope. Run it before you write a cover letter, not after.
- Skills match: Most listed tools and skills appear in your recent roles, in the same wording.
- Level match: The experience and scope of the role sit close to where you are now.
- Deal-breakers: Location, pay floor, and schedule work for you before you invest time.
- Upside: The role moves you toward the work you want next, not sideways.
Create an account to score every listing against your resume and stop guessing which ones deserve an evening of effort.
Create Your Account8When to Apply Anyway and When to Walk Away
Apply anyway when the listing is real, the employer looks stable, and you meet most of the must-haves. A gap in one nice-to-have should not stop you. Job seekers rule themselves out too early, and that costs them interviews they would have earned. A near fit at a healthy employer beats a perfect fit at a shaky one.
Walk away when two checks show warning signs at once, such as a reposted role on a team that just had layoffs. Walk away when a must-have gap is real and your experience cannot explain it. A reposted role plus vague pay plus rapid turnover is a pattern, not bad luck. Your time is better spent on a listing that passes.
Keep the decision quick and written down. A yes, a no, or a pause with a reason attached stops you from reopening the same debate every week. Then move on to the next listing.
Go or no-go before you apply
- Listing is real
Recent, specific, and tied to a named team
- Company looks stable
No recent cuts in the team you would join
- Resume covers the must-haves
Evidence on paper, not potential
- Two checks fail
Pause and look for a better target
- Hard no on a must-have
Walk away and save the effort
9Turn the Template Into a Weekly Routine
The template only helps if you use it every time. I batch my research so the work does not swallow the week. Pick a block of time, gather the listings you are considering, and run each one through the same checks in order.
Start with the cheap checks and stop early when one fails. A stale listing or a team hit by layoffs can end the research in a couple of minutes, so you never reach the resume comparison. Save the deeper reading for the listings that survive. That order protects your energy for the applications that count.
After each application, note what you found and what happened. Over a few weeks you will see which signals actually predicted a response, and you can weight them accordingly. That feedback loop is the difference between guessing and having a process.
A weekly research routine
- 1MondayGather the listings
Collect every role you are considering in one place.
- 2TuesdayRun the cheap checks
Check listing reality and company stability, and drop the failures.
- 3WednesdayScore the fit
Compare the survivors against your resume.
- 4ThursdayApply to the survivors
Tailor each application to the role that passed.
- 5FridayLog the results
Note which signals you saw and what happened next.
Written by
Jesse Johnson
Founder, ShouldApply
Founder of ShouldApply. I write about job search strategy, hiring, and how to spend your time on opportunities that actually fit. Full bio →
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Frequently Asked Questions
It depends on where the cuts landed. JOLTS counted 1.6 million layoffs and discharges (July 2026), so layoffs are common and many affected employers keep hiring. Check whether your target team was hit and whether the role is a backfill or a new opening. If the picture is unclear, treat it as a pause and score the listing with the Should I Apply tool first.
Check the posted date, look for the same title reposted on the careers page, and look for a named team and specific duties. A real listing describes actual work instead of adjectives. Missing pay ranges or contacts are soft signals, so note them and keep researching.
Enough to answer three questions: is the listing real, is the company stable, and does the role fit your resume. Run the cheap checks first and stop when one fails. Save the deeper reading for listings that survive.
Yes, if you meet most of the must-haves and the gaps are nice-to-haves. Must-haves you cannot show on your resume are the gaps that get you filtered out. A fit score shows you which gaps are which.
BLS JOLTS shows 6.5 million job openings (July 2026), up from 6.3 million a year earlier, alongside 4.8 million hires. Openings outnumber hires, so demand exists but not every opening turns into a hire. That supports being selective and putting effort where your checks pass.
Sources & References
- 6.5 million job openings (July 2026)SourceBLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)· July 2026
- 4.8 million hires (July 2026)SourceBLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)· July 2026
- 2.9 million quits (July 2026)SourceBLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)· July 2026
- 1.6 million layoffs and discharges (July 2026)SourceBLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)· July 2026
- job openings up from 6.3 million a year earlierSourceBLS JOLTS year-over-year comparison· July 2026
Score the Job Before You Apply
Research tells you whether the employer is worth your time, and a score tells you whether the role fits your resume. Run both before you send anything.
Score a Job